Fiscal Policy in Latin America over the Cycle
Author | : Mr.Alexander Klemm |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 32 |
Release | : 2014-04-16 |
ISBN-10 | : 9781475516470 |
ISBN-13 | : 1475516479 |
Rating | : 4/5 (479 Downloads) |
Download or read book Fiscal Policy in Latin America over the Cycle written by Mr.Alexander Klemm and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-16 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides an analysis of the cyclical stance of fiscal policy in Latin America. Its contributions include developing a new measure of the cyclicality of fiscal policy, careful analysis of the statistical significance of results, and accounting for the effect of commodity prices on fiscal balances. The new cyclicality measure takes into account both discretionary policy action and automatic stabilizers, but excludes additional revenues that are due to applying an unchanged average tax rate to nominal GDP in excess of potential. The paper finds that fiscal policy has been procyclical on average in Latin America, but counter or acyclical in advanced economies. Country-specific results are mostly insignificant, except in a few cases where policy is clearly procyclical. For some countries (Brazil, Chile, Colombia, El Salvador, and Mexico), there is evidence of a recent move toward more countercyclical policies.