Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility Evidence from an Emerging Market

Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility Evidence from an Emerging Market
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:1291170082
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Book Synopsis Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility Evidence from an Emerging Market by : Kiran

Download or read book Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility Evidence from an Emerging Market written by Kiran and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Studies on the impact of futures introduction on the volatility of the underlying index report no increase in the spot volatility after the futures introduction. However, the prior studies do not comment on how exactly the information transmits from the futures market to the spot market. This paper focuses on investigating whether the change in the structure of spot volatility evolution process is due to the futures trading activity. The relation between the Futures trading activity (measured through trading volume and open interest) and spot index volatility is documented, following Bessembinder and Seguin (1992), by partitioning trading activity into expected and shock components by an appropriate ARMA model. The series are then appended in the variance equation through an appropriate ARMA-GARCH model, following Gulen and Mayhew (2000). Further, the study examines the effect of the Sept. 11th terrorist attack has had on the Nifty spot-futures relation.The study concludes that post the Sept. 11th attack, the relation between Futures Trading Activity and Spot volatility has strengthened, implying that the market has become more efficient in assimilating the information into its prices. This is evident in both volume and open interest (expected and activity shock) being significant post Sept. 11 while not being significant pre Sept. 11.


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