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United States monetary policy has traditionally been modeled under the assumption that the domestic economy is immune to international factors and exogenous sho
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This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the different categories of the overall consumer
On the Sources and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks
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Building on recent work on the role of speculation and inventories in oil markets, we embed a competitive oil storage model within a DSGE model of the U.S. econ
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The sharp drop in oil prices is one of the most important global economic developments over the past year. The SDN finds that (i) supply factors have played a s
The X-11 Variant of the Census Method II Seasonal Adjustment Program
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