An Empirical Study of a Conditional International Asset Pricing Model for US, Japanese, and European Stock and Government Bond Markets
Author | : Tom Arild Fearnley |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 263 |
Release | : 2002 |
ISBN-10 | : OCLC:249900989 |
ISBN-13 | : |
Rating | : 4/5 ( Downloads) |
Download or read book An Empirical Study of a Conditional International Asset Pricing Model for US, Japanese, and European Stock and Government Bond Markets written by Tom Arild Fearnley and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dissertation consists of three papers dedicated to empirical tests of a multivariate conditional international Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). The aim is to evaluate to what extent such a model can explain stock and government bond returns in the US, Japan and Europe over the last 10 to 15 years, and whether the model can be usefully employed in global tactical asset allocation. The starting point is the international CAPM of Adler and Dumas (1983), which is made conditional through a multivariate GARCH-in-mean specification. The additional assumption that local inflation rates are zero or deterministic reduces inflation risk premia to currency risk premia. Data are analyzed at weekly frequency. The first paper introduces regime switching GARCH parameters. The second paper adds government bonds to the analysis, and evaluates four different models for the price of market risk. The third paper introduces regime switching prices of risk and intercept terms.