Climate Shocks and Domestic Conflicts in Africa

Climate Shocks and Domestic Conflicts in Africa
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 37
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9798400227066
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 ( Downloads)

Book Synopsis Climate Shocks and Domestic Conflicts in Africa by : Yoro Diallo

Download or read book Climate Shocks and Domestic Conflicts in Africa written by Yoro Diallo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-12-16 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the interlinkages between climate shocks, domestic conflicts, and policy resilience in Africa. It builds on a Correlated Random Effect model to asess these interrelationships on a broad sample of 51 African countries over the 1990-2018 period. We find suggestive evidence that climate shocks, as captured through weather shocks, increase the likelihood of domestic conflicts, by as high as up to 38 percent. However, the effect holds only for intercommunal conflicts, not for government-involved conflicts. The effect is maginified in countries with more unequal income distribution and a stronger share of young male demographics. The results are robust to a wide set of sensitivity checks, including using various indicators of weather shocks and domestic conflicts, and alternative estimation techniques. The findings shed light on key policy resilience factors, including steadily improving domestic revenue mobilization, strengthening social protection and access to basic health care services, scaling up public investment in the agriculture sector, and stepping up anti-desertification efforts.


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