Idiosyncratic Volatility, Its Expected Variation, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

Idiosyncratic Volatility, Its Expected Variation, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
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Total Pages : 61
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:1304306881
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Book Synopsis Idiosyncratic Volatility, Its Expected Variation, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Nicole Branger

Download or read book Idiosyncratic Volatility, Its Expected Variation, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Nicole Branger and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that the widely documented negative relation between idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) and expected returns can be explained by the mean reversion of stocks' idiosyncratic volatilities. We use option-implied information to extract the mean reversion speed of IVOL in an almost model-free fashion. This allows us to identify stocks for which past IVOL is a bad proxy for expected IVOL. These stocks solely drive the negative relation, and a long--short portfolio earns a monthly risk-adjusted return of 2.74%, on average. In a horse race, the mean reversion speed is superior to prominent competing explanations of the IVOL puzzle.


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