Implied Idiosyncratic Volatility and Stock Return Predictability

Implied Idiosyncratic Volatility and Stock Return Predictability
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:1375619234
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Book Synopsis Implied Idiosyncratic Volatility and Stock Return Predictability by : Cesario Mateus

Download or read book Implied Idiosyncratic Volatility and Stock Return Predictability written by Cesario Mateus and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the role of volatility risk on stock return predictability. Using 596 stock options traded at the American Stock Exchange and the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) for the period from January 2001 to December 2010, it examines the relation between different idiosyncratic volatility measures and expected stock returns for a period that involves both the dotcom bubble and the recent financial crisis. First it is showed that implied idiosyncratic volatility is the best stock return predictor among the different volatility measures used. Second, cross-section firm-specific characteristics are important on stock returns forecast. Third, we provide evidence that higher short selling constraints impact negatively stock returns having liquidity the opposite effect.


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