The Risk Premium of Volatility Implicit in Currency Options

The Risk Premium of Volatility Implicit in Currency Options
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Total Pages : 27
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:1290408045
ISBN-13 :
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Book Synopsis The Risk Premium of Volatility Implicit in Currency Options by : Dajiang Guo

Download or read book The Risk Premium of Volatility Implicit in Currency Options written by Dajiang Guo and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides an empirical investigation of the variance process and the market price of variance risk implied in the foreign currency options market. There are three principal contributions. First, the parameters of Heston's (1993) mean-reverting square root stochastic volatility model are estimated using dollar/mark option prices from 1987 to 1992. Second, it is shown that these quot;impliedquot; parameters can be combined with historical moments of the dollar/mark exchange rate to deduce an estimate of the market price of variance risk. These estimates are found to be nonzero, time varying, and of sufficient magnitude to imply that the compensation for variance risk is a significant component of the risk premia in the currency market. Finally, the out-of-sample test suggests that the historical variance and the Hull and White (1987) implied variance contain no additional information beyond that imbedded in the Heston implied variance.


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